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Home World Middle East

Gaza peace talks: The key sticking points

October 7, 2025
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AFP via Getty Images A plume of smoke rises in the background as Palestinians return from a food distribution point run by the US and Israeli-backed Gaza Humanitarian Foundation (GHF) group. AFP via Getty Images

Negotiators from Israel and Hamas are in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt, for indirect talks over an end to the Israel-Gaza war.

It is the closest both sides have come to a deal since the war began two years ago.

But Donald Trump’s 20-point peace plan – which Israel has agreed to and Hamas has partly agreed to – is really just a framework, only a few pages long.

And there are still major sticking points for both sides to resolve.

Hostage release structure

Trump’s plan states that within 72 hours of a deal being agreed all remaining hostages would be released. It is thought 48 Israeli hostages remain in Gaza, 20 of whom are believed to be alive.

Trump said over the weekend the hostages could be released “very soon”, while Netanyahu said they could be freed before the end of the Jewish holiday Sukkot – or October 13th.

Hamas has agreed to the hostage “exchange formula” detailed in Trump’s plan, providing certain “field conditions” are met.

But the hostages are the group’s only bargaining chip – and it’s unclear whether it would be willing to release them before other elements of the deal are finalised.

Trust between the two sides is virtually non-existent. Only last month, Israel attempted to assassinate Hamas’s negotiating team with an air strike on Doha – angering not only Hamas but also Trump and Qatar, a key mediator.

Members of that same negotiating team – headed by Khalil al-Hayya, whose son was killed in the strike – will now be meeting just a stone’s throw from Israel’s delegation in Egypt.

Hamas disarmament

Israel’s stated goal throughout the war has been the destruction of Hamas. Netanyahu has repeatedly stated he will not stop until the group is finished.

A key point in Trump’s plan requires the group to disarm. But Hamas has previously refused to lay down its weapons, saying it would only do so once a Palestinian state has been established.

In its response, Hamas made no mention of disarmament – fuelling speculation that it has not changed its position.

Over the weekend, Netanyahu vowed: “Hamas will be disarmed and Gaza will be demilitarised – either the easy way or the hard way”.

Future governance of Gaza

The plan states that Hamas will have no future role in Gaza, which will be governed by a temporary transitional body of Palestinian technocrats – supervised by a “Board of Peace” headed and chaired by Donald Trump and involving former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair.

Governance of the Strip would eventually be handed over to the Palestinian Authority (PA).

Though Netanyahu agreed to all of Trump’s 20-point plan, he appeared to push back on involvement of the PA even as he stood on the podium next to the president last week, insisting it would play no role in governing the territory.

This is one of many points in the plan that will be objectionable to ultranationalist hardliners within Netanyahu’s governing coalition – many of whom want to retain control of Gaza and reconstruct Jewish settlements there.

In Hamas’s response, it indicated that it expects to have some future role in Gaza as part of “a unified Palestinian movement”. Though the wording is vague, this will likely be unacceptable to both Trump and the Israelis.

Israeli withdrawal

The extent of Israel’s military withdrawal is a fourth point of contention.

The plan states that Israel’s military will withdraw from Gaza “based on standards, milestones, and timeframes” that must be agreed by all parties.

A map distributed by the White House showed three proposed stages of Israeli troop withdrawal. The first stage leaves about 55% of Gaza under Israeli control, the second 40%, and the final 15%.

That final stage would be a “security perimeter” that would “remain until Gaza is properly secure from any resurgent terror threat”.

The wording here is vague and gives no clear timeline for full Israeli withdrawal – something Hamas are likely to want clarity on.

Additionally, the map shared by the White House doesn’t match up with the Israeli military’s own maps showing militarised areas, and Gaza’s borders are incorrectly drawn in places.

Netanyahu’s future

For more than a year, the Israeli Prime Minister has faced accusations he is only continuing the war in Gaza to remain in power.

Far-right members of his cabinet have threatened to end his coalition government if the war ends before Hamas is destroyed.

Earlier this year, Netanyahu and Trump were advocating redeveloping Gaza into a “riviera”, which would have involved the forced displacement of Palestinians from the Strip.

This latest plan is a significantly different – and may be a tough pill for hardliners who had given the “riviera” idea their full backing to swallow.

Netanyahu also faces a major corruption trial, which would resume in full should the war end. Some fear a collapse of talks could personally benefit him.

But there would also be a political benefit in ending the war – even if the terms aren’t what he might have hoped for. Polls now consistently show that around 70% of Israelis want the war to end in exchange for the release of the hostages.

Regardless, Netanyahu will have to face elections in 2026.



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