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Are government pledges on track?

August 22, 2025
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Rob England and Tom Edgington

BBC Verify

Getty Images Migrants onboard a rubber boat in the ChannelGetty Images

The prime minister has made tackling illegal immigration and “restoring order” to the asylum system a priority for the government.

Sir Keir Starmer has promised to “smash the gangs”. It follows predecessor Rishi Sunak’s pledge to “stop the boats”.

BBC Verify looks at key government pledges – including tackling small-boat crossings, ending the use of asylum hotels and returning more people with no right to be in the country.

‘End asylum hotels’

Labour promised to “end asylum hotels, saving the taxpayer billions of pounds” in its general election manifesto.

The government wants to fulfil this pledge by 2029.

However, recent figures show there were more asylum seekers staying in hotels in June 2025 compared with June 2024 – a few days before the general election.

A bar chart showing the number of people in asylum accommodation between December 2022 and June 2025. The numbers rise from about 45,000 to a peak of 56,000 in September 2023 before falling to 30,000 in June 2024. There is a slight rise then before a drop in June 2025 to the current total of about 32,000

At the end of June 2025, there were 32,059 people in hotels – up 2,474.

Despite the rise over 12 months, the number has fallen by 286 since March 2025.

The government does not regularly publish figures on the number of actual hotels in use but government sources have suggested there are 210 asylum hotels, slightly down from 212 in July 2024.

The asylum process determines whether a person can remain in the UK because they have a “well-founded fear of persecution” in their home country.

Once someone applies for asylum, they gain legal protections while awaiting a decision – including accommodation if they cannot support themselves financially.

Almost everyone who arrives by small boat claims asylum – they made up a third of all asylum applications over the past 12 months. Another large group of claimants were people already in the UK who previously entered legally on a student, work or visitor’s visa.

Since 2020, the government has been increasingly reliant on hotels, partly because the supply of other types of asylum accommodation has not kept up with the numbers arriving in small boats.

But using asylum hotels is expensive – costing £5.7m per day in 2024-25. The government has started to save money by adding beds to rooms in hotels to maximise the number of people in each site.

The Independent Chief Inspector of Borders and Immigration, David Bolt, told Parliament in June, that he did not believe the government would meet its pledge: “Frankly, I do not think that it will be achieved”, he said.

“They are very large numbers, and it is very hard to see how they are going to be reduced significantly, even over the length of the Parliament.”

‘Smash the gangs’

As of 20 August, 27,997 people had arrived in the UK in small boats in 2025 – up by about 45% compared with the same period in 2024.

To reduce the number of crossings, the government has pledged to disrupt the people-smuggling gangs behind them.

A line chart showing the number of people crossing the English Channel in small boats by year between 2021 and 2025. All years tend to start with lower numbers, under 10,000 until at least June, then increase significantly between August and November. 2021 is the lowest total at about 28,000, while 2022 is the highest with more than 40,000 crossings. Figures to 19 August 2025 show 27,997 crossings, which is the highest so far for that point in the year of any previous years.

But it is unclear how the government plans to measure its progress, or when this goal will be met.

The Home Office told us data on actions taken by officials to disrupt criminal gangs was “being collected and may be published in the future”.

There is some information on efforts to prevent small boat crossings by French authorities – who, under a 2023 deal, are receiving £476m from the UK over three years.

They say about 33,468 people were prevented from crossing between July 2024 and August 2025. We do not know what happened to them or whether they tried to cross again.

There have been high-profile cases of UK-based smugglers being sentenced, including a man who helped smuggle more than 3,000 people.

In July, the UK and France agreed to a “one in, one out” pilot. Under the scheme, for each migrant the UK returns to France, another migrant with a strong case for asylum in Britain will come the other way.

The vast majority of UK immigration is legal – this includes people who have been granted permission to come to work, study, claim asylum or for other authorised purposes.

Over the past 12 months, about 49,000 people entered the UK illegally – about 5% of the nearly one million people who immigrated to the UK between July 2024 and June 2025.

‘Clear the asylum backlog’

The government has also promised “to clear the asylum backlog“.

This refers to the backlog of claims by asylum seekers who are waiting to hear whether they will be granted refugee status and be allowed to remain in the UK.

Since last June, there has been a 55% increase in decisions on asylum cases.

A line chart showing the number of decisions being made on asylum cases and the number of people applying for asylum. The number of decisions is generally lower than applications from 2020 through to late 2023. The numbers fluctuate between 5,000 and 30,000. Decisions then rapidly rise to more than 60,000 before falling back to 16,000 in early 2024. Decisions then rise to about 38,000 in March 2025 and stay at that level in June. Applications fell in the most recent figures to about 26,000

This, combined with a recent fall in applications has meant the overall backlog of asylum cases has fallen compared with the end of June 2024.

Under Labour, 39% of asylum claims were granted in the year to June 2025. This is lower than under the Conservatives the previous year, when about 44% of claims were granted.

Bar chart showing the backlog of asylum cases waiting to be decided on by the government. The bars hover at about 20,000 to 40,000 for most of the 2010's, starting to rise consistently in 2018 to a peak in 2023 of about 160,000. This then drops to about 90,000 - where it is now in June 2025

Another backlog the government wants to clear is the high number of court appeals from asylum seekers following rejected claims.

That backlog has got worse since last summer’s election. There were nearly 51,000 in March 2025 – a record high.

Line chart showing the open asylum appeals caseload. The line starts at about 9,000 in 2015, remaining below 10,000 until 2023 where it rises rapidly to the current total of nearly 51,000 in March 2025

‘Increase returns’

The government has also promised to “increase returns” of people with no legal right to be in the UK. It said it would set up a new returns and enforcement unit with 1,000 extra staff.

Between July 2024 (when Labour came to power) and July 2025, there were 35,052 returns recoded by the Home Office.

This is up 13% compared with the same period 12 months ago.

So the government is meeting this pledge but it is worth noting that just 9,115 people were forcibly removed – which could involve being escorted on a plane by an immigration official.

The figures also show 10,191 failed asylum seekers were returned in this period but they do not say how many were enforced or voluntary.

Separate government figures from April to June gave a fuller breakdown showing many of those who did leave voluntarily did so without government assistance or even its knowledge at the time, as BBC Verify has previously pointed out.

Area chart showing immigration returns from the UK supported by the government and made independently. The chart starts in 2010 where about 12,000 returns were made, just over half were government supported. The number of all returns then falls dramatically from 2017 through to 2020, before beginning to rise again in both categories to December 2024. The latest totals for June 2025 are 5,977 government supported and 2,287 independent, with the government supported total seeing a slight drop on the figures for March.

This is despite repeated claims from ministers that the government has “removed” or even “deported” this many people.

The Home Office says all returns outcomes are the result of collective efforts by the department.

BBC Verify banner



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Tags: governmentpledgestrack

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