Kosovo’s ruling party is on track to win the largest number of votes in Sunday’s parliamentary election but fall short of a majority of seats, an exit poll predicts.

Vetevendosje, the party of Prime Minister Alvin Kurti, will win 42% of the vote, the Koha News portal says, which would translate to 47 seats in the 120-seat parliament.

The centre-left governing party is expected to come ahead of the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK) on 21%, the Democratic League of Kosovo (LDK) on 20% and the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK) on 7%, the exit poll shows.

Kurti came to power in 2021 when a coalition run by his party received more than 50% of votes and secured a small majority in parliament.

His popularity has been boosted by efforts to extend government control over the ethnic-Serb majority north.

But that has antagonised Kosovo’s main backers – the EU and the US. Opposition parties advocate a more conciliatory approach, and have criticised the government’s handling of the economy.

The centre-right LDK has campaigned on joining Nato, and restoring relations with the US. The PDK, also centre-right, was founded by former guerrilla fighters of the Kosovo Liberation Army.

Under Kosovo’s constitution, 10 MPs must come from the Serb minority, and they will not cooperate with Kurti’s party.

The remaining 10 seats are reserved for other minority ethnic groups, which have previously cooperated with Vetevendosje, which translates as “self-determination”.

Kurti has previously said he would not cooperate with any of the opposition parties.

Kosovo unilaterally declared independence from Serbia in February 2008, after years of strained relations between its Serb and mainly Albanian inhabitants.

It has been recognised by the US and major EU countries, but Serbia, backed by its powerful ally Russia, refuses to do so, as do most ethnic Serbs inside Kosovo.